Birth rate response to change of infantile mortality in the Muslim countries: social and economic aspect of the problem

Abstract

The reaction of total coefficient of birth rate to dynamics of infantile mortality as a result of change of socio-economic factors in the Muslim countries where the process of reproduction of the population observes from expanded to reduced is considered. The dependence between a trajectory of the movement of production of GDP per capita and change of coefficient of infantile mortality and also reaction to it of ICR are revealed. It is proved that the vibration amplitude of production of GDP per capita is the defining actor influencing on dynamics of infantile mortality to which the ICR at a certain share of urban population reacts and at coverage of primary education of boys from 2/3 and above within 20 years or from 3/4 within 15 years.