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The migration aspect of rural population behavior as an element of demographic behavior modeling

https://doi.org/10.35854/2219-6242-2024-4-473-481

Abstract

The article discusses the construction of a model for demographic behavior, in particular its structural element, migration behavior. According to the author, rural depopulation has many consequences, including a decrease in the labour resources, deterioration of rural infrastructure and, ultimately, exacerbation of economic problems. Anti-crisis measures aimed at the development of rural areas require close attention to changing the model of demographic behavior of rural residents, including its migration aspect. The article examines the migration behavior of rural residents of the Central Black Earth Economic Region, drawing on Federal State Statistics Service data on rural migration in the region, as well as on 2021–2024 sociological studies on key factors and trends in socio-demographic development. Analysis of statistical information on rural migration in Belgorod, Voronezh, Kursk, Lipetsk, and Tambov regions does not provide a stable trend, since the time factor is not decisive. In the current situation, survey methods provide more accurate information highlighting migration sentiments, readiness, and activity of the rural population. The results of sociological diagnostics were used to substantiate a number of trends in the migration behavior of rural residents.

About the Author

G. N. Gaidukova
North-West Institute of Management Branch of the Russian Academy of National Economy and Public Administration under the President of the Russian Federation
Russian Federation

Galina N. Gaidukova, PhD in Sociology, Associate Professor, Associate Professor at the Department of Management

57/43 Sredniy Ave., V.I., St. Petersburg 199178



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Review

For citations:


Gaidukova G.N. The migration aspect of rural population behavior as an element of demographic behavior modeling. Sociology and Law. 2024;16(4):473-481. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.35854/2219-6242-2024-4-473-481

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ISSN 2219-6242 (Print)